Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2415.854658 2618.708994 2824.477787 3048.529032 3285.308855 3527.797985 3794.601240
2025-01-26 2149.904071 2457.955799 2782.233409 3147.856218 3547.434508 3969.695097 4448.476503
2025-02-02 1968.270675 2341.189011 2744.576490 3210.923501 3732.731675 4296.200781 4948.198039
2025-02-09 1792.620301 2207.498039 2666.984746 3209.634957 3828.927807 4509.691762 5310.539401
2025-02-16 1635.707384 2079.443548 2581.554928 3185.982880 3887.914010 4671.604776 5606.760627
2025-02-23 1536.325990 2008.936205 2553.894213 3220.843442 4007.019479 4896.380055 5970.360549
2025-03-02 1429.201787 1920.958710 2498.435417 3216.450793 4074.838903 5057.907416 6258.255557
2025-03-09 1361.492367 1875.611750 2489.232201 3262.877557 4199.193972 5282.950452 6618.832766
2025-03-16 1264.296046 1787.586996 2422.869035 3235.454526 4231.361408 5396.603750 6846.731217
2025-03-23 1222.342302 1766.294695 2436.068684 3302.997978 4376.479013 5643.508241 7232.479069
2025-03-30 1160.431586 1715.615765 2409.392819 3318.478125 4456.082231 5810.798780 7523.015071
2025-04-06 1096.023477 1658.098675 2370.936622 3316.415115 4511.863488 5947.869446 7776.571684
2025-04-13 994.012218 1546.599857 2260.064099 3220.262302 4449.340984 5940.931627 7857.289185
2025-04-20 980.770990 1554.737158 2304.613704 3323.476038 4638.086282 6244.027787 8319.018155
2025-04-27 953.916129 1542.371629 2320.818073 3389.091466 4778.924856 6488.367841 8709.998575
2025-05-04 903.520883 1494.432052 2287.321165 3387.751008 4832.808833 6623.751614 8966.424656
2025-05-11 848.146262 1436.597718 2237.956811 3363.145069 4854.854705 6717.975095 9171.080717
2025-05-18 817.994637 1413.653991 2234.975477 3399.410850 4955.358379 6911.112646 9500.029564
2025-05-25 775.842388 1370.975930 2202.877248 3394.841364 5001.233149 7034.293194 9741.080578
2025-06-01 753.708406 1357.031932 2210.089903 3443.133859 5116.632037 7246.576891 10095.724753
2025-06-08 708.440937 1305.830887 2162.639417 3414.609671 5128.562098 7325.056274 10280.097160
2025-06-15 696.300508 1304.935656 2186.674953 3484.860771 5272.780189 7574.973096 10684.433267
2025-06-22 668.599736 1278.403860 2172.554658 3500.959348 5343.579444 7729.564709 10967.181727